The road ahead: Is it an autonomous one?

The road ahead: Is it an autonomous one?
In case you missed it 31 May 2025 was Autonomous Vehicle Day (yes ‘blimey they’ll have national sausage roll day soon’ I hear you cry).
As I spend some time in the USA the pursuit of technological solutions to our mobility challenges is quite clearly relentless more here than anywhere it would seem BUT are they (autonomous vehicles) the panacea? Autonomous vehicles (AVs), are quite clearly no longer the stuff of science fiction. With major investments from tech giants like Google (Waymo), Tesla, Apple, and traditional automakers like Ford and GM, AVs are becoming an integral part of future mobility conversations. While they promise a revolution, the road to full autonomy is complex and full of trade-offs.
In our blog this week, we explore both the advantages and disadvantages of autonomous vehicles, considering technological, social, economic, and ethical implications.
The good….
1. Improved road safety
Human error is responsible for over 90% of traffic accidents, according to the USA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). Autonomous vehicles use a combination of cameras, LiDAR, radar, GPS, and AI to detect obstacles, follow traffic laws precisely, and make split-second decisions that eliminate distractions, fatigue, and impaired driving. In theory, once perfected, AVs could dramatically reduce traffic accidents and save thousands of lives annually.
2. Reduced traffic congestion
Not a clear cut one as returned to later but, given self-driving cars can communicate with one another and operate with greater efficiency than human drivers. They can maintain optimal speeds, eliminate stop-and-go traffic through smoother acceleration and braking, and reduce the need for unnecessary lane changes. With vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) and vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) communication, traffic flow can be optimised in ways that aren’t possible with human drivers.
3. Increased mobility for the less able-bodied
For individuals who are unable to drive—whether due to age, disability, or illness—autonomous vehicles offer newfound independence. A fully autonomous system could allow people to schedule trips, run errands, or visit family without needing a human driver or public transit.
4. Greater productivity and convenience
Imagine commuting without having to focus on the road. Autonomous vehicles free up time for passengers to work, read, relax, or sleep during trips. This convenience has the potential to transform how people use their time in transit, especially in urban areas with long commutes.
5. Environmental benefits
Although not exclusive to AVs, many are electric or hybrid vehicles by design. Combined with optimized driving patterns and reduced congestion, this can lead to lower greenhouse gas emissions and fuel consumption. Fewer idling engines and smoother traffic flow also help reduce air pollution.
6. Lower transportation costs (eventually)
Autonomous vehicle fleets, such as robo-taxis or autonomous delivery vans, could drastically reduce the cost of ride-hailing and goods transportation over time. Without drivers to pay, operating costs decrease. While the technology is currently expensive, economies of scale could eventually bring prices down, making transport more affordable and accessible.
The bad.....
1. High development and maintenance costs
Developing safe and reliable AV systems requires enormous investments in research, engineering, mapping, and data processing. Adding sensors like LiDAR and high-performance computing units also drives up manufacturing costs. Maintenance and software updates are ongoing challenges, especially with the need for near-perfect reliability.
2. Legal and ethical dilemmas
Who is liable if an autonomous vehicle crashes? Should a self-driving car prioritize passenger safety over pedestrians in an unavoidable accident? These are not just philosophical questions—they’re legal gray areas with significant implications. The development of consistent regulatory frameworks and ethical standards is still lagging behind the technology.
3. Job losses in driving professions
One of the most contentious issues is the impact on jobs. Truck drivers, taxi drivers, delivery workers, and others in driving-related occupations face an uncertain future. While AVs may create jobs in tech, maintenance, and infrastructure, large-scale displacement could lead to economic and social challenges if not managed carefully.
4. Cyber-security and privacy concerns
As with any connected device, AVs are vulnerable to hacking and data breaches. A compromised AV could pose serious risks to safety and privacy. Additionally, these vehicles collect vast amounts of data about users’ habits, routes, and preferences. Without strict data protection laws, user privacy could be at risk.
5. Infrastructure and compatibility challenges
For AVs to reach their full potential, they require smart infrastructure—roads with sensors, clear signage, and robust 5G networks for real-time communication. Many cities and rural areas lack this level of digital infrastructure. Coordinating AVs with legacy vehicles on mixed-use roads also adds complexity.
6. Induced travel demand and traffic congestion
Whilst for some possibly considered outdated it’s important to re-highlight UK Department for Transport Standing Advisory Committee on Trunk Road Assessment (SACTRA) report into induced travel demand from 1994 called ‘Trunk Roads and the Generation of Traffic’. Induced demand for road travel being broadly defined as ‘the increment in new vehicle traffic that would not have occurred without the improvement of the network capacity’. That work, revisited as recently as 2018, concluded that particularly where latent demand also exists the enhancement of network capacity (as conjecture says will flow from the efficient driving of AVs) will have the same impact and arguably counter act the previously cite advantages of reduce traffic congestion. The debate on this one will for sure roll on for decades!
7. Public trust and acceptance
Many people remain sceptical about the safety and reliability of self-driving technology, especially after high-profile incidents involving autonomous vehicles. Building public trust will require time, transparency, and consistent performance across different environments and use cases. Whatever the case then parallel marketing communications behaviour change campaigns will be required to help ensure ‘build it and they WILL come’ becomes true as AVs are rolled out.
8. Potential decline in physical activity
An often-overlooked downside of AVs is their potential impact on public health—specifically, a decline in walking and cycling. If door-to-door autonomous transport becomes cheap and highly convenient, people may choose to ride even for short trips they currently walk or bike. This shift could contribute to a more sedentary lifestyle, exacerbating issues like obesity, cardiovascular disease, and reduced mental well-being. Urban planners and policymakers will need to proactively promote active transport infrastructure and ensure that autonomous mobility complements rather than replaces healthy, active modes of travel.
The Path Forward
While autonomous vehicles are already being tested and deployed in limited settings—such as Waymo’s robo-taxi service in Phoenix (USA) or autonomous delivery robots in urban areas—we are still many years away from full Level 5 autonomy, where no human input is required under any conditions.
The transition period will likely see hybrid scenarios, where advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) help human drivers, and fully autonomous fleets operate in geo-fenced, controlled environments. Regulators, manufacturers, and the public will all play critical roles in shaping how fast and how safely we reach widespread adoption.
Conclusion
Autonomous vehicles offer a vision of the future that is safer, more efficient, and more inclusive. However, they also raise important questions about safety, employment, ethics, health, and infrastructure. Stating the obvious the challenge lies in maximising the benefits while minimising the downsides —through careful design, policy, education, dialogue and in the author’s opinion some form of regulatory framework to ensure the “market provides” what the community needs - which may not necessarily be the same as they currently want.
Whether you're a technologist, policymaker, business leader, or everyday commuter, the autonomous vehicle revolution is something we’ll all be a part of. The key is to ensure it drives us toward a better future—not just a more automated one.
If you’d like to get into a broader conversation about this subject then please come say hello@intheround.global






